"Whenever the urea price, find the topic continuously". , the familiar domestic agricultural season again looked at their current urea market movements, lamenting the price than the season came early. But can only be recognized after the slack season, the market situation seems to have got the industry too much thinking, from late June to early July, only half a month's time, urea in north China enterprise has fallen below the mainstream price 1600 yuan/ton; Urea enterprise actual clinch a deal valence also in east China, central China region near 1600 / ton, the early at about 1750 yuan/ton price really far, but even so, the market has yet to show identity attitude. Even some in the industry that urea factory price will be below 1500 yuan/ton in a short time. Under the present situation of the domestic supply and demand tends to excess, then of course became the urea urea export enterprises offer the refs. Judgment as to the price the bottom line, unless late domestic urea enterprises by the cost down to choose parking overhaul, in order to make the domestic market supply and demand contradiction, and then let the urea to get rid of the "by" the plight of export, and regain pricing power. Otherwise, the urea in the domestic farmers should be off-season "export", that is, it will be hard to stop prices to export fob retracing factory pricing.
Has been favored by the industry of domestic summer with fertilizer season approaches, east China, central China agricultural fertilizer to be delayed because of the frequent rains, in line with the inherent requirements not be bearish market mentality, the downstream distributors for the peak season coming moderate fertilizer prepared to wait. Terminal market in early chose as more and more application of high nitrogen compound fertilizer, its "no fertilizer" propaganda diluted to a large extent the market demand of urea in summer. In progress of fat from the start to the summer season, urea market whether from the demand side or from the aspects of price, are showing weakness. More worrying is that domestic demand for urea cuts still further, the cognition for the traditional urea season will be a predictable is caught off guard. Urea homogeneous competition is intense, due to the distributor for sales is relatively common, and profit margins far less sales compound fertilizer. And the urea market "unprepared" is just a efforts for the compound fertilizer enterprises preliminary result obtained the biggest affirmation. Face is bearish urea afternoon, dealers eager to liquidate goods, most factories is more in the case of a new single clinch a deal not free, choosing the way of small drop, dark down for promotion. So-called season good support becomes useless, price movements are obvious.
International urea market, according to foreign media news recently, due to the lack of purchasing power has been bearish, is more interested in foreign shorting China urea, Sri Lanka, traders vendors quote us fob intention to export to China of $280 to $285 / ton, shipping date August - September; South Korea is also quoted in early August to China intention to purchase price of $285 / ton fob. At this point, the international market for China fob urea expected in July is around $290 a tonne. India tender return overdo focus on late June, at $305 - $307 / ton fob China reached 350000 tons of export contract. As international prices down further, together with urea for China fob exports dropped to $290 a tonne in July, India last round of a contract can be carried out smoothly there was some uncertainty. Only from India's recent round of bidding and haphazard manner, more likely to break, at the same time are more likely to re-launch the tender in the middle of July. Objectively speaking, China's late in the case of lack of domestic support, the factory inventory pressure inevitably prompt it to increase demand for exports, and in the middle of July, once China fob fell to $290 a tonne, according to the "export" pricing, domestic urea mainstream enterprise ex-factory price to fall to 1500-1520 yuan/ton, and exports is expected to lower in August, the urea price search will continue on the road "bottom"
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